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GWOT Presentation
Slides (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Robert Martinage

Presentation Slides from the Senate Future Defense Planning Needs Seminar

03/27/2008
afghanistan, dod strategy and policy, iraq, military operations, radical islamism


The Global War on Terrorism: An Assessment
Report (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Robert C. Martinage

The report dissects the Salafi-Jihadi and Khomeinism threats, their ideology, roots, actors and capabilities; offers a region-by-region assessment of the current threat; and offers suggestions on strategy and capabilities vital in the War on Terrorism.

02/23/2008
afghanistan, dod strategy and policy, iraq, military operations, radical islamism


U.S. Strategy in Iraq: A Third Way Alternative
Testimony (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich

Prepared remarks for the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigation hearing

01/23/2008
army, dod strategy and policy, iraq, military operations


Of IEDs and MRAPs: Force Protection in Complex Irregular Operations
Report (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich and Dakota Wood

Political and military leaders are currently grappling with the question of how much to invest in a new system of Mine Resistant Ambush Protected armored vehicles without undermining the ability of the force to conduct the current mission, or its effectiveness across the range of missions and operating environments in the years ahead. This paper’s purpose is to ensure that the issues relevant to arriving at a good decision are given proper consideration.

10/17/2007
afghanistan, army, defense industry, iraq, military operations, personnel and readiness, select weapons systems, systems/force structure, usmc


Of IEDs and MRAPs
Slides (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich and Dakota Wood

Presentation Slides from Congressional Briefing

10/17/2007
afghanistan, army, defense industry, iraq, military operations, personnel and readiness, select weapons systems, systems/force structure, usmc


CSBA Questions DoD's Substantial Investment in MRAP
Press Release (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Natalya Anfilofyeva

The Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments today released Of IEDs and MRAPs: Force Protection in Complex Irregular Operations, by Andrew F. Krepinevich, President, and Dakota L. Wood, Senior Fellow. This analysis reviews the current effort by the Defense Department to acquire and field thousands of Mine Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) class vehicles, and to do so on a crash program basis, in support of US forces in Iraq.

10/17/2007
army, critical technologies, defense industry, iraq, military operations, personnel and readiness, select weapons systems, systems/force structure, usmc


The Cost of US Operations in Iraq and Afghanistan
Update (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven Kosiak

This paper provides an estimate of how much funding has been provided for military operations in Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere since FY 2001, describes how that funding has been provided and allocated among different programs and activities, provides a range of estimates of how much funding might be required for 2008 and beyond, and compares the cost of these operations to past wars.

09/13/2007
adb (year), afghanistan, cost of military operations, homeland security, iraq, military operations, radical islamism


Assessing the Surge
Slides (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich

Slides from closed Senate Briefing

09/10/2007
dod strategy and policy, iraq, military operations, radical islamism


The Future of U.S. Ground Forces: Challenges and Requirements
Testimony (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich

Testimony before the Unites States Senate Committee on Armed Services

04/17/2007
afghanistan, alliances, army, congressional action, cost of defense-overview, cost of military operations, critical technologies, iraq, military operations, personnel and readiness, qdr 2005, select weapons systems, service budgets, systems/force structure


New Counterinsurgency Doctrine and Baghdad Surge
Slides (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich

Presentation slides from Future Defense Planning Needs Seminar for Senior Congressional Staff

02/28/2007
army, competitive/grand strategies, dod strategy and policy, iraq,military operations, personnel and readiness, service-focused analysis


Cost of the Global War on Terror
Testimony (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven Kosiak

Testimony of CSBA Budget Studies Director Steven Kosiak before the House Budget Committee

01/18/2007
afghanistan, congressional action, cost of military operations, iraq, military operations , radical islamism


Send in the Advisers
Op/Ed (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich

Significant change in the security environment is under way. However, the Pentagon is yet to catch up with these changes in the way wars are conducted.

07/11/2006
dod strategy and policy, homeland security, iraq, military operations,


Overview of the Administration's FY 2007 Request for Homeland Security
Update (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven Kosiak

The Bush Administration’s fiscal year (FY) 2007 budget request includes $58.3 billion for homeland security. About $27.8 billion of this request is allocated to the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). Steven Kosiak breaks down the numbers.

6/26/2006
adb (year), annual defense budget, defense budget by title, homeland security,


Classified Funding in the FY 2007 Defense Budget Request
Update (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven Kosiak

FY 2007 DoD Budget inludes most classified acquisition funding since Cold War (FY 1988). Steven Kosiak presents key DoD budget data.

5/17/2006
adb (year), annual defense budget, cbr, defense budget by title


Historical and Projected Funding For Defense: Presentation of the FY 2007 Request in Tables and Charts
Update (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven Kosiak

FY 2007 DoD Budget likely to hit $513 Billion. Steven Kosiak presents key DoD budget data in tables and graphs.

4/07/2006
adb (year), annual defense budget, cost of defense-overview, defense budget topline, tables and graphs


Three Years Later: The Cost Of US Military Operations In Iraq
Update (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven Kosiak

Director of Budget Studies, Steven Kosiak, sizes up the current and prospective costs of US military operations in Iraq.

03/20/2006
cost of military operations, iraq, military operations, radical islamism,


Implementing GWOT Strategy: Overcoming Interagency Problems
Testimony (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Michael Vickers

Director of Strategic Studies, Mike Vickers, testifies before the House Armed Services Committee.

03/15/2006
afghanistan, homeland security, iraq, military operations, personnel and readiness, radical islamism,


Iraq Reconstruction: Without Additional Funding, Progress Likely to Fall Short, Undermining War Effort
Update (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven Kosiak

Analysis of spending related to the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan with a look at what may lie ahead.

2/27/2006
cost of military operations, iraq, military operations, radical islamism,


The Cost of US Military Operations in Iraq and Afghanistan through Fiscal Year 2006 and Beyond
Update (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven Kosiak

Analysis of spending related to the operations in Iraq and Afghanistan with a medium to long-term prognosis.

1/04/2006
adb (year), annual defense budget, cost of military operations, afghanistan, iraq, military operations,


Cost Growth In Defense Plans, Wars In Iraq and Afghanistan Could Add Some $900 Billion to Projected Deficits
Update (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven Kosiak

CSBA finds that the administration’s defense budget projections may understate the cost of the current defense plan (including military operations) by some $800 billion over the coming decade (FY 2006-15).

12/23/2005
adb (year), annual defense budget, cost of military operations, afghanistan, iraq, military operations,


CSBA and Lieberman Host Capacity Crowd On Iraq Strategy
Press Release (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Alise Frye

This press release highlights the important discussion held December 6th, 2005 between Senator Joe Lieberman and CSBA Executive Director Andrew Krepinevich on how to win the war in Iraq.

12/06/2005
congressional action, iraq


How To Win in Iraq
Op/Ed (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich

An original essay by Executive Director Andrew F. Krepinevich published by Foreign Affairs in Fall of 2005 on crafting a winning strategy for military operations in Iraq.

08/02/2005
iraq, radical islamism, military operations


Iraq and Vietnam: DeJa Vu All Over Again?
Backgrounder (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich

The second in a series analyzing the War in Iraq, this piece examines the historical similarities and differences between that war and Vietnam.

07/08/2004
deficit, budget, terrorism, Iraq, spending


The War in Iraq: The Nature of Insurgency Warfare
Backgrounder (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich

First in a series analyzing the War in Iraq, this Backgrounder discusses insurgency and counterinsurgency tactics.

06/02/2004
deficit, budget, terrorism, Iraq, spending


Cost Growth in Defense Plans, Occupations of Iraq and War on Terrorism Could Add Nearly $900 Billion To Projected Deficits
Update (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven Kosiak

A review of defense budget projections including FY 2005 defense budget requests, historical program cost growth assumptions and cost of ongoing operations.

03/09/2004
adb (year), afghanistan, annual defense budget, cost of defense-overview, cost of military operations, federal budget, homeland security, iraq, military operations


Funding for Defense, Military Operations, Homeland Security, and Related Activities Since 9/11
Backgrounder (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven Kosiak

An analysis of post 9/11 defense spending, where has it gone?

01/21/2004
deficit, budget, terrorism, Iraq, spending


Transforming the Legions: The Army and the Future of Land Warfare
Report (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich

A report examining the future geopolitical environment and its effects on the Army's transformation plan.

01/14/2004
Iraq, war, terrorism, combat, insurgency, conflict, precision, air power, stability


Operation Iraqi Freedom: A First Blush Assessment
Report (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich

An initial analysis of Operation Iraqi Freedom and it's possible implications for future military strategy and force structure.

09/16/2003
Iraq, war, terrorism, combat, insurgency, conflict, precision, air power, stability


CSBA Releases Operation Iraqi Freedom
Press Release By Alise Frye

Press release announcing "Operation Iraqi Freedom: A First Blush Assessment."

09/16/2003
Iraq, Strategy, war, conflict, terrorism


Cost Growth in Defense Plans, Occupation in Iraq and War on Terror Could Add Nearly $1.1 Trillion to Projected Deficits
Backgrounder By Steven Kosiak

Review of CBO analysis of Bush Administration defense spending plans and their impact on US fiscal health.

08/26/2003
deficit, budget, terrorism, Iraq, spending


Shaping the Future of Northern Command
Backgrounder (PDF file - opens in new window)
By James Jay Carafano

suggests an expansion of NORTHCOM's roles and missions

04/29/2003
Iraq, war, budget


The FY 2004 Defense Budget Request: Is the Current Plan Affordable, Sustainable and Sufficiently Transformational?
Testimony By Steven Kosiak

This is Steven Kosiak's prepared testimony before the House Budget Committtee.

02/28/2003
defense budget, war, Iraq


Potential Costs of a War with Iraq and Its Post War Occupation
Backgrounder (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Steven M. Kosiak

Provides cost estimates of a war with Iraq and post-war occupation

02/25/2003
Iraq, war, budget


Preemption in Iraq: Rationale, Risks, and Requirements
Report (PDF file - opens in new window)
By Andrew Krepinevich

This paper explores the possibility that the US will pursue a preventive or preemptive war strategy against Iraq.

02/04/2003
war, Iraq, preemption, preemptive war, Krepinevich


CSBA Releases Paper on Iraq War Policy
Press Release By Alise Frye

Press release describing the latest CSBA report: "Preemption in Iraq: Rationale, Risks, and Requirements."

02/04/2003
Iraq, war, preemption


Iraq vs the United States: Potential Terrorist Threats to the Homeland
Backgrounder By James Jay Carafano

If a military confrontation erupts between Iraq and the United States, the US homeland could be part of the battleground. This backgrounder suggests some threats to American soil.

09/18/2002
Iraq, threats to homeland, United States


Cost of Military Operations

Iraq

Over the past three years, the United States has appropriated about $220 billion for military operations in Iraq and $29 billion for Iraqi reconstruction and security assistance. Of this latter funding, some 80 percent has already been obligated (i.e., committed by contract to particular projects), and more than half of it spent. Unfortunately, while substantial progress has been made in some sectors, in many areas Iraq remains far short of achieving the relatively modest goals set out for reconstruction in the immediate aftermath of the US invasion in 2003.

Unless the United States provides additional funding, reconstruction-related activities in Iraq are likely to slow considerably over the next several years, and many of these goals will be left unmet. It is difficult to determine how much additional funding would have to be provided to complete all or most of the objectives for reconstruction identified after the invasion. However, a reasonable estimate is that some $18-28 billion or more is required. Even assuming, perhaps optimistically, that this gap could be covered by drawing equally upon US, international and Iraqi resources, this suggests that an additional $5-10 billion in US reconstruction assistance might need to be provided.

This is far more than the $2.2 billion the Bush Administration has included for Iraqi reconstruction in its recently submitted fiscal year (FY) 2007 budget request ($700 million) and FY 2006 supplemental appropriations request ($1.5 billion). However, it is far less than the administration has requested to support military operations in Iraq in 2006. The Department of Defense (DoD) is likely to be provided a total of some $120 billion in special war-related funding in 2006. Of this total, as much as $85 billion appears to be related to conducting US military operations in Iraq. Given the critical importance to the war effort of wining the “hearts and minds” of the Iraqi people, and the generally strong support among Iraqis for reconstruction-related assistance, such a lop-sided approach seems, at best, risky.

Ultimately, even if US force levels are substantially reduced, the United States is likely to spend some $100-200 billion more on military operations in Iraq over the next several years. It would be unfortunate—but far from inconceivable—if this treasure, as well as thousands of American lives, were squandered and the war lost, because the United States proved unwilling to invest even a small fraction of that amount to help complete reconstruction efforts in Iraq. Providing additional funding for reconstruction will certainly not guarantee success. But without this relatively small additional investment in reconstruction, the odds of success may be substantially lower than they would otherwise be.