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Andrew Krepinevich, President
Dr. Andrew F. Krepinevich, Jr. is President of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, an independent policy research institute established to promote innovative thinking about defense planning and investment strategies for the 21st century. Dr. Krepinevich is an accomplished author and lecturer on US military strategy and policy. In January, 2009, he released a new book 7 DEADLY SCENARIOS: A Military Futurist Explores War in the 21st Century. In this book, Dr. Krepinevich offers narratives of seven plausible yet cataclysmic events that we may face in the not so distant future—the unraveling of the state of Pakistan; a nuclear attack on the United States with materials covertly transported across borders; a pandemic influenza sweeping across the globe; escalation of an Arab-Israeli conflict toward a nuclear showdown; a US standoff with China over Taiwan; the crippling of an increasingly fragile global economy; and a US withdrawal from Iraq gone bad. In constructing these unsettling visions of future, Dr. Krepinevich drew from his extensive strategic planning experience in national security and technology policy, including his military service in the Department of Defense’s Office of Net Assessment and on the personal staff of three secretaries of defense. Other recent works include monographs for CSBA: An Army at the Crossroads, Defense Investment Strategies in an Uncertain World, The Challenges to US National Security, and Dissuasion Strategy. His work has appeared in Foreign Affairs, The National Interest, Issues in Science and Technology, Joint Forces Quarterly, The Naval War College Review, and Strategic Review, among other scholarly and public interest journals. Dr. Krepinevich received the 1987 Furniss Award for his book, The Army and Vietnam. Dr. Krepinevich gained extensive strategic planning experience in national security and technology policy through his work in the Department of Defense’s Office of Net Assessment, service on the personal staff of three secretaries of defense, and as a member of the National Defense Panel in 1997, the Defense Science Board Task Force on Joint Experimentation in 2002-03, and Joint Forces Command’s Transformation Advisory Board. He has recently joined the Secretary of Defense Defense Policy Board. Dr. Krepinevich has testified on numerous occasions before the Senate and House Budget Committees, the Senate and House Armed Services Committees, and the House Government Reform Committee. He frequently contributes to both national and local print and broadcast media, including The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The Wall Street Journal, and has appeared on each of the major networks, National Public Radio, and The McLaughlan Group. Dr. Krepinevich has lectured before a wide range of professional and academic audiences, including those at Harvard, Princeton, Yale and Stanford, the U.S. Military Academy, the Air University, the Army and Naval War Colleges, Europe’s Marshall Center, and France’s Ecole Militaire. Dr. Krepinevich has served as a consultant on military affairs for many senior government officials, including several secretaries of defense, the CIA’s National Intelligence Council, and all four military services, as well as the current U.S. Ambassador to Iraq. He has also advised the governments of several close allies on defense matters, including those of Australia, France, Japan, Singapore, and the United Kingdom. He has taught a wide variety of national security and defense policymaking courses while on the faculties of West Point, George Mason University, The Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies and Georgetown University. Following an Army career that spanned twenty-one years, Dr. Krepinevich retired to become the president of what is now the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. A graduate of West Point, Dr. Krepinevich holds an MPA and Ph.D. from Harvard University. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Bibliography0 wallclock secs ( 0.11 usr + 0.01 sys = 0.12 CPU) 86 hits
The War in Afghanistan in Strategic Context
11/17/2009 prepared statement for testimony before U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Armed Services Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigation
US Nuclear Forces: Meeting the Challenge of a Proliferated World
10/02/2009 This report seeks to provide the basis for an informed and constructive debate over the role of nuclear weapons in the overall US defense posture. To this end, the principal focus is on identifying the existing and emerging security environment as it pertains to nuclear weapons. The report also offers some recommendations on how the United States might best respond to the challenges posed by nuclear proliferation, and, hopefully, create a more secure global environment.
Regaining Strategic Competence
09/01/2009 The central argument of this report is that, in light of the complex and intensifying security challenges the United States now faces, the nation can no longer afford poor strategic performance. The time to reverse the decline in US strategic competence is long overdue. The first task is for American political and military leaders to develop a clearer understanding of what strategy actually is, and what cognitive skills are necessary to craft and implement good strategies.
Correcting Course: The Cancellation of the FCS Program
07/30/2009 A look at the Future Combat Systems and Secretary Gates' recent decision to cancel the program
Solid-State Laser Weapon Systems: Bridging the Gap -- or Bridge Too Far?
05/20/2009 presentation slides from congressional conference
The Future of U.S. Ground Forces
03/26/2009 Testimony Before the U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee Airland Subcommittee
The Project on National Security Reform: Challenges and Requirements
03/19/2009 Testimony Before the U.S. House of Representatives House Committee on Armed Services Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigation 25th Annual Pre-Budget Release Briefing
02/12/2009
Audio record of the briefing with Andrew Krepinevich and Stan Collender
Near-Term Prospects for Battlefield Directed-Energy Weapons
02/05/2008 Technical challenges that have long delayed the fielding of directed-energy weapons for battlefield use finally appear to be giving way to technical and engineering progress. CSBA investigates whether SSL technology has matured sufficiently to be employed in tactical environments.
Seven Deadly Scenarios to Be Released Today
01/27/2009 The Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments announces the release of 7 DEADLY SCENARIOS: A Military Futurist Explores War in the 21st Century, a new book written by the Center’s President and CEO, Dr. Andrew Krepinevich. An Army at the Crossroads
11/17/2008
An Army at the Crossroads 
An Army at Crossroads
11/18/2008 Presentation slides from Reorienting US Military Services Conference 
An Army At The Crossroads
11/17/2008 The report makes recommendations on achieving a more balanced force—one that is not only balanced between the demands of irregular and conventional operations, but also one that is more evenly weighted between the Active and Reserve Components. Defense Investment Strategies
08/22/2008
Defense Investment Strategies 
Defense Investment Strategies in an Uncertain World
08/21/2008 This report provides a framework for thinking about investment strategies at a time when the United States is at war, and facing the need to transform its military owing to the likelihood of significant shifts in the character of the military competition. 
The Challenges to U.S. National Security
08/21/2008 This report translates the principal challenges to US security into a representative set of contingencies in order to determine what resources will be required, and how they should be apportioned among forces and capabilities. 
Investment Strategies Presentation
08/21/2008 Presentation slides from August 21, 2008 Strategy for the Long Haul initiative launch.
Language and Cultural Awareness Transformation
07/09/2008 Prepared testimony for the record
Dissuasion Strategy
05/06/2008 The report dissects the concept of dissuasion; highlights its differences with deterrence; offers insight on how it can be operationalized; and solutions for overcoming possible impediments.
Dissuasion Strategy
05/06/2008
U.S. Strategy in Iraq: A Third Way Alternative
01/23/2008 Prepared remarks for the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigation hearing
Of IEDs and MRAPs: Force Protection in Complex Irregular Operations
10/17/2007 Political and military leaders are currently grappling with the question of how much to invest in a new system of Mine Resistant Ambush Protected armored vehicles without undermining the ability of the force to conduct the current mission, or its effectiveness across the range of missions and operating environments in the years ahead. This paper’s purpose is to ensure that the issues relevant to arriving at a good decision are given proper consideration.
Of IEDs and MRAPs
10/17/2007 Presentation Slides from Congressional Briefing
Assessing the Surge
09/10/2007 Slides from closed Senate Briefing
Defense Roles, Missions, and Requirements
06/20/2007 Testimony before the House Armed Services Committee
A New Global Defense Posture for the Second Transoceanic Era
04/20/2007 Whenever the nation contemplates making a major shift in its global defense posture, planned changes should be seriously and broadly debated, because these changes will shape and constrain US strategic options for some time. While the broad outlines for the ongoing shift in the US defense posture appear to be headed in the right direction, the changes have generally been made without much public or even internal governmental debate. Several important questions remain to be fully answered, and further changes will likely be required to address several existing or looming 21st century strategic challenges.
The Future of U.S. Ground Forces: Challenges and Requirements
04/17/2007 Testimony before the Unites States Senate Committee on Armed Services
New Counterinsurgency Doctrine and Baghdad Surge
02/28/2007 Presentation slides from Future Defense Planning Needs Seminar for Senior Congressional Staff
Hardware Requirements for Counterinsurgency
01/26/2007 Presentation slides from CSBA Senior Congressional Staff Briefing
Send in the Advisers
07/11/2006 Significant change in the security environment is under way. However, the Pentagon is yet to catch up with these changes in the way wars are conducted.
The Quadrennial Defense Review: Rethinking the US Military Posture
03/14/2006 Executive Director, Andrew Krepinevich, testifies before the House Armed Services Committee on March 14th, 2006.
The Quadrennial Defense Review: Rethinking the US Military Posture
10/24/2005 An anlysis of the $441.8 billion request for national defense authority for fiscal year 2006, not including funds for Iraq and Afghanistan.
The Quadrennial Defense Review
09/14/2005 Testimony of Executive Director Dr. Andrew Krepinevich before the House Armed Services Committee on the 2005 QDR.
How To Win in Iraq
08/02/2005 An original essay by Executive Director Andrew F. Krepinevich published by Foreign Affairs in Fall of 2005 on crafting a winning strategy for military operations in Iraq.
The War in Iraq: A Thin Green Line
08/14/2004 This backgrounder is the third in a series analyzing the War in Iraq, as well as the Army force structure and personnel requirements for a protracted and counterinsurgency operation.
Iraq and Vietnam: DeJa Vu All Over Again?
07/08/2004 The second in a series analyzing the War in Iraq, this piece examines the historical similarities and differences between that war and Vietnam.
The War in Iraq: The Nature of Insurgency Warfare
06/02/2004 First in a series analyzing the War in Iraq, this Backgrounder discusses insurgency and counterinsurgency tactics.
Combatting Terrorism: Training and Equipping Reserve Component Forces
05/11/2004 Dr. Krepinevich's testimony before the Government Reform Committee on the importance of training, doctrine and strategy in fighting insurgent battles as in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Transforming the Legions: The Army and the Future of Land Warfare
01/14/2004 A report examining the future geopolitical environment and its effects on the Army's transformation plan.
Operation Iraqi Freedom: A First Blush Assessment
09/16/2003 An initial analysis of Operation Iraqi Freedom and it's possible implications for future military strategy and force structure.
Meeting the Anti-Access and Area-Denial Challenge
05/20/2003 The US military must prepare for would-be adversaries to present very different challenges than those which it has confronted in the past. Additionally, because of the rapid advancement of military-related technologies adversaries may have an easier time achieving this goal.
Preemption in Iraq: Rationale, Risks, and Requirements
02/04/2003 This paper explores the possibility that the US will pursue a preventive or preemptive war strategy against Iraq.
The Military-Technical Revolution: A Preliminary Assessment
10/16/2002 Written in 1991, the report explored whether or not a major shift of military warfare was underway.
A New War Demands a New Military
09/10/2002 The war on terrorism, waged since the tragic events of last September 11, provides sobering evidence of the need to transform America's armed forces.
Skipping "Skipping A Generation__"
05/01/2002 President's promise of transformation via "skipping a generation" gets skipped in the Pentagon's quadrennial defense review.
Rummy's Pentagon War
04/24/2002 Secretary Rumsfeld now seems ready to take on the Pentagon bureaucracy and its supporters on Capitol Hill.
Defense Transformation
04/09/2002 Dr. Krepinevich's testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee on April 9, 2002
The Real Problems with Our Nuclear Posture
03/14/2002 What the administration has proposed in the NPR is nothing less than the transformation of US strategic forces to decrease the number of nuclear wapons in the American arsenal as well as to reduce the reliance placed on nuclear weapons in the event of a c
Lighting the Path Ahead: Field Exercises and Transformation
02/25/2002 This report makes the case that field exercises play a critical but undervalued role in military transformation and innovation.
The Transformation of Strategic-Strike Operations
01/11/2002 CSBA's report recommended that the Nuclear Posture Review consider the merits of a new type of strategic triad. The findings of the NPR released this week track closely with CSBA's recommendation.
Arming America's Soldiers for a New Kind of War
10/26/2001 The first war of this new century is not even a distant cousin of the Persian Gulf War, much less of the Cold War that still determines, in many ways, the size, form and orientation of our military
A Defining Challenge for a New Generation
09/28/2001 The current generation of Americans confronts a challenge that, while in some ways quite different, is in its own way as formidable as the one confronted by the Greatest Generation 60 years ago.
The First War of a New Century: A First Blush Assessment
09/28/2001 The United States needs to prepare for the more complex threats that terrorists may use in the future.
The Amended FY 2002 Defense Budget Request
06/28/2001 Quick analysis of the president's FY 2002 amended defense budget request.
Beyond the Two-MTW Posture
06/20/2001 Dr. Krepinevich's testimony before the House Armed Services Committee on June 20, 2001
The Bush Administration's Call for Defense Transformation: A Congressional Guide
06/19/2001 Dr. Krepinevich provides a series of first-order metrics by which to evaluate whether the forthcoming defense strategy represents an improvement over the current defense posture as laid down in the 1997 QDR.
The Transformation of Strategic-Strike Operations
03/00/2001 A strong case can be made that the United States should take steps to create a new strategic-strike triad, relying on its precision- and electronic-strike capabilities to form two of the three legs, with a smaller residual nuclear force comprising the third leg.
A Strategy for a Long Peace
02/12/2001 Dr. Krepinevich's prepared remarks before the House Budget Committee for the hearing on the National Defense Budget in the New Century
A Strategy for a Long Peace
01/30/2001 The report examines the challenges of the future security environment and explores one transformational path, which the authors believe to be preferable to that pursued in the current defense program.
Ready for What?
09/01/2000 The broadsides being fired at each other by both the Bush and Gore campaigns over military readiness have generated a lot of heat, but shed little light on an issue central to our national security.
NMD Deployment Decision In 2000 Would Be Premature
06/09/2000 It may make sense to eventually deploy a limited NMD system. However, committing to deployment of the administration's proposed system by this fall would clearly be premature.
Hart-Rudman Commission Report-A Critique
04/19/2000 A critique of U.S. Commission on National Security/21st Century (Hart-Rudman Commission) Phase II Report.
Military Experimentation-Time To Get Serious
03/31/2000 A look at military experimentation-both DoD's lack of support for it and it's necessity for the future
Transforming America‘s Alliances
02/00/2000 If the United States hopes to preserve its vital security interests at home and abroad beyond the near term, it will almost certainly find itself relying more on allies than it does at present.
W(h)ither the Army?
01/18/2000 Analysis of the Army's modernization plans
Transforming to Victory: The U.S. Navy, Carrier Aviation, and Preparing for War in the Pacific
2000 A discussion of how the United States was able to transform its navy to help win the war and become what it is today
The Lessons of Kosovo
10/13/1999 Seeks to answer the question, "What can be learned from the operations in Kosovo?"
The Defense Budget - A Strategic Perspective
03/11/1999 Testimony by Andrew Krepinevich, Executive Director, before the House Budget Committee
The Future Of Tactical Aviation - A Strategic Perspective
03/10/1999 Testimony of Andrew Krepinevich before the Senate Armed Services AirLand Subcommittee
Emerging Threats, Revolutionary Capabilities And Military Transformation
03/05/1999 Testimony of Andrew Krepinevich before the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Capabilities
Investing Wisely
03/00/1999 An article discussing the funding and readiness issues associated with US military
Trident Stealth Battleship: Opportunity for Innovation
02/24/1999 The Navy should seize this opportunity and convert the Tridents into “stealth battleships” carrying large numbers of extended-range precision weapons in lieu of nuclear missiles.
Why No Transformation?
02/04/1999 Article discussing why the military has not transformed itself even though it has conducted numerous studies suggesting that it should do so
The Fiscal Year 2000 Defense Budget - Increased Funding For A Flawed Strategy?
01/25/1999 If spent properly, the increased funding could come close to covering the year's defense plan, however, the authors speculate that DoD's spending strategy needs changed
The Military Revolution And The Case For Deep Cuts In Nuclear Forces
11/00/1998 Article discussing how smarter bombs may allow a decrease in nuclear weapons
Testimony Before The House National Security Committee Subcommittee On Military Procurement And Research And Development
10/08/1998 Testimony of Andrew Krepinevich on Military Procurement and R&D
The Rumsfeld Commission - Where Do We Go From Here?
08/04/1998 analysis of the Rumsfeld Commission's report
National Defense Panel Report: First Shot in the Debate Over Transforming the US Military
12/01/1997 By offering a real strategic alternative to the QDR, the panel has provided the basis for a reinvigorated debate about U.S. defense policy.
Navy Strike Operations In The 21st Century
11/00/1997 A description of potential future strike operations that the Navy should be prepared to pursue
Transforming The American Military
09/26/1997 A presentation given on September 1, 1997, at the dedication conference for the George Bush School of Government and Public Service at the Texas A&M University
The Conflict Environment of 2016: A Scenario-Based Approach
10/01/1996 A look at different modernization and purchase plans for the Air Force
Air Force of 2016
10/00/1996 Report on ways the Air Force could transform itself in preparation for threats in and around 2016.
A New Navy For A New Era
05/00/1996 Analysis of the way the Navy needs to transform to counter future threats
Perspectives On The Revolution In Military Affairs
04/24/1996 Perspectives on the RMA range from denial that a revolution is currently underway, or even exists, to the view that we are entering a period of continuous revolutionary change in which discrete military regimes will no longer be discernible.
Restructuring Defense For A New Era - The Value Of Scenario-Based Planning
04/08/1996 This backgrounder addresses the merits of scenario-based planning as a way for the US military to escape the trap of preparing for the last war.
Restructuring for a New Era: Framing the Roles & Missions Debate
04/01/1995 Today, the United States faces a major challenge: restructuring its defense establishment to function efficiently and effectively in a new, dynamic security environment. This paper offers a framework for meeting that challenge. |
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